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Does Obama Have a Demographic Firewall? Part II: Non-Whites
In the first post of this multi-part series on Obama’s potential demographic firewall, we noted that if non-white voters participate and vote as they did in 2008, the GOP will need to win historic...
View ArticleRomney’s Challenge: Close The White Gender and Education Gaps
If non-white turnout and support for Obama approach or exceed 2008 levels, Romney will be forced to compensate with unprecedented numbers of white voters. Although such a feat is far from impossible,...
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How The Youth Vote Matters
Obama’s reelection chances depend on the composition of the electorate. If the November electorate resembles the one from four years ago, Romney will need to compensate with a historic share of the...
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Can Obama Win North Carolina In a Close Election?
Even though Obama won North Carolina by just 14,000 votes in an election he won by more than 7% nationally, most polls and analysts place North Carolina among the swing states in 2012, an election...
View ArticleGallup Releases Demographic Data On Tracking Poll
Gallup’s tracking poll has generated controversy since it has consistently shown Obama performing worse than other polls of registered voters. Although the data wasn’t yet publicly available, Ron...
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